Will ‘Pathaan’ make a Rs 200 Crore India Opening?

Advanced bookings of ‘Pathaan’ look promising but will the Shah Rukh Khan action flick have a Rs. 200 Crore opening in India?

Pathaan to release in Bangladesh


“We can safely say that the shows are good."

The advance bookings of Pathaan are promising and is reportedly expected to be the biggest opening release for a Hindi film in terms of screenings and show figures.

Trade experts believe it will open with first-day figures of Rs. 35-40 Crore (£3.9 million) in India.

The advance bookings for Shah Rukh Khan-Deepika Padukone’s new film Pathaan were supposed to open on January 20, 2023.

However, they instead opened a day prior and the film has already sold more than 100,000 tickets across major cinema chains.

As per trade experts, Pathaan is set for an opening collection of Rs 35-40 Crore (£3.9 million) when it releases in India on January 25, 2023.

It is also reported that the film is likely to gross Rs. 150-200 Crore (£19.9 million) in India over the first weekend and Rs. 300 Crore (£29.9 million) worldwide.

In a tweet, it was revealed that PVR has sold 108,000 tickets, INOX sold 93,000 and Cinepolis sold 50,000 as of January 21, 2023.

Film analyst Sumit Kadel claimed that Pathaan is set to be the biggest release for Hindi films in regard to screenings and show figures.

Showbiz analyst Atul Mohan gave his view of Pathaan’s forecasted figures. He said:

“The trend is that the advance bookings are at highest on the first day, and then it peaks on the day before release.

“We can safely say that the shows are good.

“Four out of five screens are being given to Pathaan at most properties like Cinepolis, PVR and INOX etc.”

Film exhibitor Akshaye Rathi believes Pathaan is likely to score anywhere between Rs. 150 Crore to Rs. 200 Crore (£19.9 million) over the first weekend.

He commented: “Advance bookings were meant to be open on the 20th of January but with anticipation, it opened on Thursday and the premium formats such as IMAX opened a day before.

“We are hoping that the movie will open with good numbers.”

Talking about his projection for the opening collections of Pathaan, Akshaye added:

“Purely by the trajectory of the traction that the film has got, and the fact that it will be a working weekday (on the day of Pathaan release), it could be Rs. 35 Crore or even beyond that.

“The trends are pretty encouraging everywhere (tier 1 as well as tier 2 cities).

“Also, this is a five-day weekend, we could see anywhere between Rs. 150 Crore to Rs. 200 Crore weekend collection.”

Producer and film business analyst Girish Johar said:

“Box office is very dynamic and the numbers for advance booking for day one and the first half of day two – all languages and all formats- are very good.

“It is contrary to how films scored last year, it is heartening.”

“The film has already crossed 2.5 lakh ticket sales. I see the filmmaking anywhere between Rs. 37 – Rs. 40 Crore on day one.

“If everything is on track and the film is what the audience expects it to be, Pathaan may safely cross Rs. 300 Crore worldwide by the end of the first weekend. In India, it can do Rs. 175 – Rs. 200 Crore.”

The main draw for the audience may be attributed to Shah Rukh Khan’s comeback to the big screen with the movie after a five-year absence.

His last starring role was in Aanand L Rai’s Zero in 2018.

With major stars like Deepika Padukone, Dimple Kapadia, and John Abraham starring alongside SRK, Pathaan has all the star power to draw viewers.

Ilsa is a digital marketeer and journalist. Her interests include politics, literature, religion and football. Her motto is “Give people their flowers whilst they’re still around to smell them.”

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